- Large options expire approaching for Bitcoin ($1.10B) and Ethereum ($470M), potentially causing market volatility.
- Bitcoin’s put-call ratio of 0.95 indicates balanced sentiment, while Ethereum’s 0.44 suggests a more bullish outlook.
- Max pain prices ($62,000 for BTC, $2,500 for ETH) could influence market movements as expiry approaches.
A significant volatility alert has emerged as the options expiry for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) approaches. This expiration event is at 30 PM IST and traded options with enormous notional volume, and these are $1.10 billion for Bitcoin and $470 million for Ethereum. The max pain prices at which market participants base their operations are $62,000/BTC and $2,500/ETH. These levels sometimes give the best point, the majority of the contracts would expire in the money leading to possible market shifts.
Effect of Options Expiration on Crypto Markets
Options expiry can often lead to price swings as traders adjust their positions. Big open interest along with high put call ratios offer a good indication of the attitude of the market. As of now, Bitcoin has 18,035 open contracts, where the put-call ratio is 0.95 which means the number of bearish options about Bitcoin is nearly equal to the bullish options. Twitter shares 428,621 contracts while Ethereum lists 193,956 contracts with put-call ratio of 0.44 which, relatively indicates a higher expectation for the value of ETH as compared to BTC.
The max pain price which is sometimes a crucial price in options expiry is the price at which most of the option holders stand to loss. The max pain point for Bitcoin is $62,000 while for Ethereum is $2,500. If the prices move towards these levels this could be suggestive of manipulative forces at play because the market makers will seek to bring the market near these points so that they can minimize the amount of payout that they may be required to make.
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Prospective Responses from the Market
Such large stakes are at play that the last couple of weeks before the expiry may go down to the wire for the traders and investors. Sharper values may push fluctuations affecting the general market, given that many institutional investors may be compelled to adjust their risks to fit the changes in prices. The spread in put-call ratios shows that notions and expectations differ for BTC and ETH markets; traders appear more optimistic with Ethereum. They hold the potential to set the trajectory of the near-term performance of both BTC and ETH as their activity around max pain levels is going to be observed.
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