• Bitcoin’s SOPR at 0.987 shows short-term investors selling at a loss, aligning with price bottoms.
  • Broader indicators like MVRV, NUPL, and Puell Multiple confirm the market cycle is not at its peak.
  • Accumulation opportunities arise as discounted Bitcoin becomes available, potentially leading to future market gains.

Bitcoin’s recent decline has triggered a wave of bearish trajectory across news platforms and social media channels. This negative outlook aligns with the current short-term Spent Output Profit Ratio, which stands at 0.987. The SOPR metric reflects that short-term investors who have been holding Bitcoin for less than six months are selling at a loss. Historically, such market conditions have often created opportunities for accumulation.

Short-Term Investors Selling at a Loss and Cycle Indicators

According to Crypto Quant observation, The SOPR is currently at 0.987, indicating short-term investors are selling at a loss. Historical patterns show that SOPR below 1 often aligns with local price bottoms.

Source: Crypto Quant

Red circles on the chart mark periods of SOPR below 1, followed by subsequent price recoveries. The black line reflects Bitcoin’s price, showing upward trends after these moments. Current levels suggest short-term investors are experiencing losses, which historically precede market rebounds. 

Broader cycle indicators, including MVRV, NUPL, Puell Multiple, and the short-term investor ratio, provide additional observations to Bitcoin’s current state. The short-term investor ratio is currently at 60%, signaling a market that has not yet reached the peak of its cycle. 

Opportunity for Strategic Accumulation

As short-term investors continue to sell, the market presents an opportunity for strategic accumulation. Historical patterns suggest that periods of heightened losses among short-term participants often lead to subsequent gains. 

If prices decline further, informed investors may capitalize on discounted Bitcoin, creating upward pressure on the market. As these investors offload their holdings, the coins become available at lower prices, offering an opportunity for longer-term participants to accumulate.
Market behavior indicates that selling during these conditions could be a misstep as the broader cycle remains intact. Smart money tends to accumulate during such corrections, positioning for potential future gains. With short-term SOPR below one and other cycle indicators suggesting room for growth, the current environment may offer opportunities for accumulation rather than liquidation.