- Bitcoin’s post-halving breakout signals a shift, setting the stage for potential altcoin growth under favorable conditions.
- Kaleo predicts an extended alt season fueled by spot ETF approval, regulatory clarity, and ecosystem expansion.
- Major altcoin ecosystems could thrive as Bitcoin dominance declines, but selective growth is likely across innovative projects.
After past halving events, Bitcoin’s dominance varies, and the cryptocurrency market is heating up. The dominance of Bitcoin (BTC.D) has shown patterns around halving occurrences, providing insights into future market dynamics, according to renowned analyst Kaleo. The market’s structural change is evident in Bitcoin’s breakout over a descending resistance trendline, which has raised expectations for a possible altcoin season.
Key Insights from Bitcoin’s Halving History
The May 2020 and April 2024 Bitcoin halvings were crucial in determining the direction of the market. With a trading volume of $13.17 trillion, the 2020 halve fueled a 318-day price climb. Following this surge, a sharp correction and consolidation phase ensued.
The most recent halving in 2024 mirrors similar patterns. Despite a slightly lower volume of $11.46 trillion, the market broke through a critical descending trendline. This suggests a transition toward increased trading activity and liquidity. Besides, Kaleo highlighted that Bitcoin dominance typically sees a downturn over 300 days post-halving.
Extended Alt Season on the Horizon?
Kaleo speculates an extended altcoin season could emerge under favorable conditions, including regulatory clarity and a growing crypto ecosystem. As institutional money flows into Bitcoin, its dominance could decline, enabling major altcoin ecosystems to thrive.
Moreover, Kaleo emphasizes the importance of the spot Bitcoin ETF approval, alongside regulatory freedom in the United States. These factors, combined with global adoption, could unlock trillions of dollars in new crypto assets.
Kaleo foresees companies launching their own Layer 1 blockchain and tokens, accelerating innovation. However, he warns that not all altcoins will perform equally, as selective ecosystems will likely see exponential growth.
Bitcoin’s recent breakout above a critical resistance level indicates a structural shift in market behavior. While altcoin season may not occur immediately, Kaleo’s analysis highlights potential for major ecosystem expansions.
