- MARA dropped 15.31 percent to $12.42 while SoFi slipped 5.11 percent to $13.92 showing heavy market pressure
- OBV for MARA hit 4.52 billion and SoFi reached 2.33 billion indicating steady accumulation despite falling prices
- Support levels near $12.00 for MARA and $13.00 for SoFi could trigger rebounds if accumulation continues
MARA Holdings Inc. and SoFi Technologies Inc. have generated a lot of market buzz after serious declines and a very evident bullish divergence. On February 26, 2025, MARA Holdings closed at $12.42, down sharply 15.31% from a previous close of $14.60. During the day the stock ranged from a high of $14.65 to a low of $12.05, demonstrating extremely heightened volatility.
Here, too, SoFi Technologies ended the session at $13.92, down 5.11% from the previous close of $14.80, with day trading activity encompassing a high of $14.82 and a low of $13.42. However, such steep drops have triggered market analyst Cantonese_Cat to note the importance of the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator for a possible change in trend.
Institutional Accumulation and Market Sentiment
Both stocks have been heavily shorted, yet the OBV charts for MARA and SoFi show a clear upward trajectory, diverging from the recent price declines. MARA’s OBV currently stands at 4.52 billion, indicating sustained accumulation despite the price downturn. In contrast, SoFi’s OBV sits at 2.33 billion, similarly showcasing a rising trend against falling prices. This divergence is often interpreted as a signal that institutional players are quietly accumulating shares, positioning for a potential reversal.
Analyst Cantonese_Cat highlighted that MARA has been under heavy short pressure since early 2025, while SoFi experienced a similar trend starting mid-2024. The consistent OBV increase, despite aggressive shorting, suggests that large investors are taking advantage of the lower prices to build positions. This behavior is common before sharp rebounds, especially when technical indicators like the OBV signal underlying demand.
Historical Patterns and Potential Scenarios
MARA has known different tests on the support zones of about $12.00 since 2023, with each test affording it some recuperation bounce. Currently, the price action indicates that the stock is at a most critical crossroad, or holding above this support zone might bring upside toward the resistance zone of $16.00. The SoFi stock has been under scrutiny around the support level at $13.00 which strongly acted as a floor for the stock throughout 2024 and should now weigh on the market in general.
MARA underwent tests regarding support values at nearly $12.00 several times in 2023, with each succeeding point resulting in some bounce. Right now, the price shows that the stock is at a very critical juncture, indicating possible upside to the resistance zone of $16.00 for holding above that support zone. Well, indeed, as this has come under further scrutiny and reapplication in market terms, the support area around $13.00 acted as the floor for SoFi in the whole year of 2024.
If institutional accumulation continues and short covering accelerates, both MARA and SoFi could experience swift upward movements. However, a failure to maintain these support levels might expose the stocks to further declines, potentially dragging MARA toward the $10.00 mark and SoFi to the $12.00 range. Cantonese_Cat noted that while immediate rebounds are possible, a prolonged consolidation phase is also likely as the market digests recent volatility.
